ClosedMedium impactAI Generated

Alaska Mega-Tsunami (481m Runup) – Tracy Arm Fjord Landslide – 10 Aug 2025

Occurred 10 Aug 2025·Detected 10 May 2026·
🇺🇸 Tracy Arm fjord, near South Sawyer Glacier, approximately 80 miles south-southeast of Juneau, Alaska, USA1 reportEnded 29 May 2026
Natural CatastrophePropertyMarine HullMarine CargoCasualty & LiabilityReinsurance

On 10 August 2025, a landslide of over 64 million cubic metres of rock collapsed into Tracy Arm fjord near South Sawyer Glacier, Alaska, approximately 80 miles south-southeast of Juneau. The collapse generated a megatsunami with a runup of 481 metres — one of the tallest ever recorded — and an initial breaking wave of 100 metres travelling at over 70 metres per second. No fatalities or injuries occurred, attributed to the 5:26 a.m. local timing when no cruise ships or large visitor groups were present. A study published in Science in May 2026 links the event to glacial retreat driven by climate change and warns of heightened future risk to cruise vessels in glacier fjords.

AI-generated from linked source reports. See our correction policy.

Impact verdict

Medium impact. Although no casualties or confirmed insured losses occurred in this instance, the event represents a severe near-miss for the cruise industry in a heavily trafficked tourist area. The scientific study raises systemic risk concerns for marine hull and casualty underwriters covering cruise and tour vessels operating in Alaska glacier fjords, with implications for future policy terms and exclusions.

View assessment methodology

How we grade what we know -- Known · Reported · Uncertain. Methodology →

Intelligence ledger

Each line expands in place to its underlying sourced claim.

Known10 lines

Landslide occurred on 10 August 2025 at approximately 05:26 local time in Tracy Arm fjord, Alaska
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Over 64 million cubic metres of rock collapsed near South Sawyer Glacier
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Megatsunami runup of 481 metres (1,578 feet) recorded on the opposite fjord wall
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Initial breaking wave reached 100 metres travelling at more than 70 metres per second
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
No fatalities or injuries reported
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Seismic event equivalent to magnitude 5.4 earthquake
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
NOAA tide gauge in Juneau recorded tsunami waves up to 36 centimetres above tide level
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Kayakers camped at Harbor Island had gear swept away by waves
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Long-period seiche persisted for up to 36 hours inside the fjord
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Study published in the journal Science on 7 May 2026 (gCaptain article published 8 May 2026)
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.

Reported3 lines

Landslide was preceded by several days of increasing microseismic activity
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Study links the failure to glacial retreat driven by climate change removing slope support
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Scientists warn future collapses in glacier fjords could potentially be detected before failure
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.

Uncertain3 lines

Whether any insured vessels or cargo were damaged
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Whether formal maritime safety advisories or route restrictions for Tracy Arm have been issued following the study
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Precise extent of vegetation stripping and any infrastructure damage in the fjord
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.

Geographic Zone Matches

2 active matches

  • TRIA Certified Areas
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Pacific Ring of Fire
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%

Geographic zone matches are RiskEvents spatial/analytical indicators, not coverage determinations or Lloyd's official classifications.

Affected countries

🇺🇸 United States

Timeline

Status Change2 Jun 2026, 13:05

Lifecycle changed

monitoring → closed

Closure2 Jun 2026, 13:05

Event Closed

auto_closed_monitoring_timeout

Status Change29 May 2026, 05:30

Status changed to monitoring

Auto-transitioned: no updates for 6 hours

active → monitoring

Status Change28 May 2026, 22:36

Status changed to active

remediation: existing authoritative signal

signal → active

Initial Detection10 May 2026, 23:10

Initial Detection

On 10 August 2025, a landslide of over 64 million cubic metres of rock collapsed into Tracy Arm fjord near South Sawyer Glacier, Alaska, approximately 80 miles south-southeast of Juneau. The collapse generated a megatsunami with a runup of 481 metres — one of the tallest ever recorded — and an initial breaking wave of 100 metres travelling at over 70 metres per second. No fatalities or injuries occurred, attributed to the 5:26 a.m. local timing when no cruise ships or large visitor groups were present. A study published in Science in May 2026 links the event to glacial retreat driven by climate change and warns of heightened future risk to cruise vessels in glacier fjords.

The Aug. 10, 2025 event…began when more than 64 million cubic meters of rock collapsed into the fjord near South Sawyer Glacier…The landslide generated an initial 100-meter breaking wave…followed by a megatsunami that stripped vegetation from the steep fjord walls. No one was killed or injured.

Source: gCaptain (Maritime) (Trade Media) · View source

Lloyd's classifications

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