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Enverus Projects Brent Above $100 Through 2027 Following Hormuz Disruption

Occurred 11 Jun 2026·Detected 18 Jun 2026·
🇮🇷 Strait of Hormuz, Persian Gulf — critical maritime chokepoint between Iran and the Arabian Peninsula2 reports
Political Violence & WarEnergy & InfrastructureMarineMarine HullMarine CargoEnergyPolitical RiskWar Risk

Enverus Intelligence Research, cited by worldoil.com, forecasts Brent crude above $100 per barrel through 2027 following a reported disruption to the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Hormuz is a critical maritime chokepoint for global oil shipments, and the multi-year price outlook signals prolonged uncertainty for energy, marine, and political risk books. The specific mechanics and severity of the underlying disruption are not detailed in available reporting, and tanker traffic status is unconfirmed; the event remains at the signal stage.

AI-generated from linked source reports. See our correction policy.

Part of:Middle East Regional Conflict and Insurance Market Disruption (2026)(418 related events)

Impact verdict

High impact. Loss pathway: A reported Strait of Hormuz disruption — a chokepoint for approximately 20% of global oil flows — combined with a sustained Brent price view above $100/bbl through 2027, directly affects energy underwriting, marine war risk pricing, and political risk accumulation. Evidence: Enverus attributes its elevated price forecast to the Hormuz disruption (worldoil.com, 11 June 2026), indicating a concrete chokepoint event tied to a multi-year price call. Limit: The source does not detail the disruption mechanism, duration, severity, or the current state of physical tanker traffic, so severity banding rests on price outlook and chokepoint criticality rather than confirmed loss indicators.

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Geographic Zone Matches

12 active matches

  • Oman (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • OFAC Sanctioned Countries
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Iraq (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • United Arab Emirates (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • JWC Listed Areas
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Kuwait (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • EU Sanctions List
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Iran (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Saudi Arabia (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Bahrain (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Qatar (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Persian/Arabian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, Indian Ocean, Gulf of Aden and Southern Red Sea
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%

Geographic zone matches are RiskEvents spatial/analytical indicators, not coverage determinations or Lloyd's official classifications.

Affected countries

🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates🇧🇭 Bahrain🇮🇶 Iraq🇮🇷 Iran🇰🇼 Kuwait🇴🇲 Oman🇶🇦 Qatar🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia

Lloyd's classifications

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