RiskEvents
ClosedLow impactAI Refreshed

Iran-US Military Escalation: Day 104 of Iran War with Strikes on US Bases

Occurred 28 Feb 2026ยทDetected 17 Jun 2026ยท
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Persian Gulf region and broader Middle East, with potential maritime and energy infrastructure exposure8 reportsCAT 26AAEnded 10 Jul 2026
Political Violence & WarMarineEnergy & InfrastructureMarine CargoEnergyWar Risk

Mainstream reporting says the US launched new strikes on Iranian military sites and port facilities after three commercial vessels were reportedly struck in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran says the strikes violated a ceasefire, and reporting also says the US revoked a licence that had allowed Iranian oil sales. Named vessels, confirmed commercial asset damage, formal closure measures, and loss estimates remain unconfirmed.

AI-generated from linked source reports. See our correction policy.

Part of:Middle East Regional Conflict and Insurance Market Disruption (2026)(418 related events)

Impact verdict

Low impact. The clearest insured exposure pathway remains war-related escalation spilling into commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and reported strikes on Iranian port facilities. This sustains direct war-risk exposure and indirect marine cargo, marine hull, energy, and aviation-war concerns across the Gulf. However, insured-severity assessment remains constrained because reporting does not identify the vessels reportedly hit, confirm damage to named commercial assets, or provide loss estimates.

View assessment methodology

Premium discovery tier

Unlock analyst briefs, intelligence depth, and the revision timeline

Public pages show event facts and a short lead-in. Premium accounts unlock analyst briefs, deeper intelligence, loss context, and the full revision history for this event.

Start two-week trial

Geographic Zone Matches

16 active matches

  • Oman (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • OFAC Sanctioned Countries
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Iraq (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • United Arab Emirates (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • TRIA Certified Areas
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • JWC Listed Areas
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Kuwait (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • EU Sanctions List
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Iran (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Saudi Arabia (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Bahrain (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Qatar (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Israel (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Pacific Ring of Fire
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Persian/Arabian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, Indian Ocean, Gulf of Aden and Southern Red Sea
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Caribbean Hurricane Zone
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%

Geographic zone matches are RiskEvents spatial/analytical indicators, not coverage determinations or Lloyd's official classifications.

Affected countries

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช United Arab Emirates๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ญ Bahrain๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ Iraq๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ด Jordan๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ Kuwait๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ Oman

+3 more

Lloyd's classifications

Tracking this kind of risk? Get an email when Political Violence & War events escalate.

Get alerts
โ† Back to live events