ClosedLow impactAI Generated

Israeli Attacks on Gaza Up 35% Since Iran Ceasefire – ACLED Report, April 2026

Occurred 1 Apr 2026·Detected 13 May 2026·
🇮🇱 Gaza Strip, Palestinian Territories2 reportsCAT ILDLEnded 25 May 2026
Political Violence & WarPropertyMarine HullEnergyTerrorism & Political ViolenceWar Risk

Conflict monitor ACLED reports a 35% increase in Israeli military attacks on Gaza during April 2026, following the Iran ceasefire. The report highlights a significant escalation of Israeli military operations in the Gaza Strip during this period. This statistical finding points to intensified ground and air operations against Gaza despite a broader regional de-escalation with Iran.

AI-generated from linked source reports. See our correction policy.

Impact verdict

Low impact. LOW: Routine update within the ongoing Gaza conflict. No new London Market loss pathway is evidenced: no named insured commercial asset, vessel/cargo incident, port/waterway/airspace closure, energy asset, sanctions asset action, claims/loss estimate, or market pricing response.

View assessment methodology

How we grade what we know -- Known · Reported · Uncertain. Methodology →

Intelligence ledger

Each line expands in place to its underlying sourced claim.

Known3 lines

ACLED conflict monitor documented a 35% increase in Israeli attacks on Gaza in April 2026
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
The increase is measured in the period following an Iran ceasefire
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
The report was published or cited by Al Jazeera on 13 May 2026
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.

Reported2 lines

The escalation may reflect a redeployment of Israeli military focus from Iran to Gaza following regional ceasefire
structured linereported
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
The ACLED report is described as the 'latest report', suggesting this is a periodic monitoring publication
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.

Uncertain3 lines

Precise nature of attacks (airstrikes, ground incursions, artillery) not specified in article
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Casualty figures or infrastructure damage associated with the 35% increase are not provided
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Whether the Iran ceasefire is formal or informal, and its exact date, is not stated
structured lineuncertain
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.

Geographic Zone Matches

1 active match

  • JWC Listed Areas
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%

Geographic zone matches are RiskEvents spatial/analytical indicators, not coverage determinations or Lloyd's official classifications.

Affected countries

🇮🇱 Israel🇵🇸 Palestine

Timeline

Status Change28 May 2026, 21:22

Lifecycle changed

monitoring → closed

Closure28 May 2026, 21:22

Event Closed

auto_closed_monitoring_timeout

De-escalation25 May 2026, 12:08

Impact changed

medium → low

Status Change13 May 2026, 23:30

Status changed to monitoring

Auto-transitioned: no updates for 6 hours

Status Change13 May 2026, 17:00

Status changed to active

Auto-promoted: authoritative source detected

De-escalation13 May 2026, 17:00

Impact de-escalated to medium

Impact changed from high to medium based on new source intelligence

Corroboration13 May 2026, 17:00

Nickolay Mladenov, High Representative of the Gaza Peace Council, has stated that ceasefire violations in the Gaza Strip are ongoing and that the parties do not feel the war has completely ended. Mladenov noted that his team is working to reduce the number of violations. The statement reflects continued instability in the Gaza Strip despite any formal ceasefire framework.

Source: Anadolu Agency (Turkish) (Wire Service) · View source

Initial Detection13 May 2026, 14:00

Initial Detection

Conflict monitor ACLED reports a 35% increase in Israeli military attacks on Gaza during April 2026, following the Iran ceasefire. The report highlights a significant escalation of Israeli military operations in the Gaza Strip during this period. This statistical finding points to intensified ground and air operations against Gaza despite a broader regional de-escalation with Iran.

Conflict monitor ACLED notes the increase in Israeli attacks on Gaza in April in its latest report.

Source: Al Jazeera (Mainstream Media) · View source

Lloyd's classifications

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