MonitoringLow impactAI Refreshed

M6.7 Earthquake 46 km ESE of Palu, Sulawesi, Indonesia

Occurred 16 Jun 2026·Detected 18 Jun 2026·
🇮🇩 46 km ESE of Palu, Central Sulawesi, Indonesia4 reports
Natural CatastrophePropertyMarine HullMarine CargoEnergy

A M6.7 earthquake struck 46 km ESE of Palu, Central Sulawesi, Indonesia, at a shallow depth of 10 km, as reviewed by USGS. USGS indicates a PAGER alert level of yellow and a maximum estimated intensity (MMI) of about 8, with 8 felt reports submitted and 120 stations contributing; no tsunami warning was issued. No damage assessments, casualty figures, or insured loss estimates are available in the current advisory.

AI-generated from linked source reports. See our correction policy.

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Impact verdict

Low impact. USGS assigns a yellow PAGER alert and an estimated peak MMI near 8 in the epicentral area, indicating the potential for significant local shaking near Palu, with 8 felt reports already received. However, the epicenter lies 46 km ESE of Palu, no commercial or industrial damage, port disruption, casualty data, or insured loss estimate has been reported, and the USGS event page is the only authoritative source. The 2018 M7.5 Palu earthquake-tsunami is contextual only and does not infer losses for the current event. Absent any named insured asset or loss pathway, London Market materiality remains low pending further damage assessments.

View assessment methodology

How we grade what we know -- Known · Reported · Uncertain. Methodology →

Intelligence ledger

Each line expands in place to its underlying sourced claim.

AI refreshed 18 Jun 2026, 13:19

Known18 lines

M6.7 earthquake recorded by USGS
structured lineknown
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Epicenter 46 km ESE of Palu, Sulawesi, Indonesia
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Shallow depth of 10 km
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Tsunami flag: 0 (no tsunami warning)
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Event time: 2026-06-16T03:27:44 UTC
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Reviewed status by USGS
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USGS assigned a yellow PAGER alert, indicating potential for local impact but not a continent-wide alert.
usgs_pager_alert_yellowseverity indicatorvalid from 17 Jun 2026, 10:10Property
Market relevance: Yellow alert signals possibility of localised damage worth monitoring for property and engineering lines.
pager_alert: yellow” — USGS Significant Earthquakes · 16 Jun 2026, 03:27 · official advisory
Authoritative facts: pager_alert
The USGS solution uses 120 contributing stations.
station_countexposure contextvalid from 17 Jun 2026, 10:10Property
Market relevance: Supports robustness of magnitude and depth estimates.
station_count: 120” — USGS Significant Earthquakes · 16 Jun 2026, 03:27 · official advisory
Authoritative facts: station_count
The event origin time is 2026-06-16T03:27:44 UTC.
event_time_utcexposure contextvalid from 16 Jun 2026, 03:27Property
Market relevance: Used for treaty attachment and notice-of-loss timing.
Event time: 2026-06-16T03:27:44 UTC” — USGS Significant Earthquakes · 16 Jun 2026, 03:27 · official advisory
USGS records 8 felt reports for this event.
felt_reportsexposure contextvalid from 17 Jun 2026, 10:10Property
Market relevance: Felt-report count provides an early signal of population exposure and is still rising.
felt_reports: 8” — USGS Significant Earthquakes · 16 Jun 2026, 03:27 · official advisory
Authoritative facts: felt_reports
No tsunami warning was issued for this event (tsunami_region_flag = false).
no_tsunami_warningloss pathway exclusionvalid from 17 Jun 2026, 10:10Marine
Market relevance: Removes a key Pacific marine and coastal accumulation pathway.
tsunami: false” — USGS Significant Earthquakes · 16 Jun 2026, 03:27 · official advisory
Authoritative facts: tsunami_region_flag
USGS reports a maximum community-decided intensity (CDI) of 7.5 based on submitted felt reports.
max_cdi_estimateseverity indicatorvalid from 17 Jun 2026, 10:10Property
Market relevance: High CDI corroborates strong perceived shaking in populated areas.
cdi_max: 7.5” — USGS Significant Earthquakes · 16 Jun 2026, 03:27 · official advisory
Authoritative facts: cdi_max
USGS reports the earthquake magnitude as Mww 6.7.
usgs_magnitudeseverity indicatorvalid from 17 Jun 2026, 10:10Property
Market relevance: Indicator of physical severity for potential earthquake-exposed portfolios in Sulawesi.
"mag":6.7,"type":"earthquake","title":"M 6.7 - 46 km ESE of Palu, Indonesia"” — USGS Significant Earthquakes · 16 Jun 2026, 03:27 · official advisory
Authoritative facts: magnitude
USGS reports a hypocentral depth of 10 km, consistent with the moment-tensor derived depth.
usgs_depthseverity indicatorvalid from 17 Jun 2026, 10:10Property
Market relevance: Shallow depth increases near-field shaking intensity at the surface.
"depth":"10"” — USGS Significant Earthquakes · 16 Jun 2026, 03:27 · official advisory
Authoritative facts: depth_km, mt_derived_depth_km
The epicentre is located 46 km ESE of Palu, Central Sulawesi, Indonesia, at approximately -1.1312, 120.2301.
epicentre_locationexposure contextvalid from 17 Jun 2026, 10:10Property
Market relevance: Defines exposure footprint for any Sulawesi-located insured assets.
"place":"46 km ESE of Palu, Indonesia"” — USGS Significant Earthquakes · 16 Jun 2026, 03:27 · official advisory
USGS estimates a maximum intensity of about MMI 8.0 in the epicentral area.
max_mmi_estimateseverity indicatorvalid from 17 Jun 2026, 10:10Property
Market relevance: MMI near 8 implies potential for heavy damage to vulnerable structures close to the epicentre.
max_mmi: 8.014” — USGS Significant Earthquakes · 16 Jun 2026, 03:27 · official advisory
Authoritative facts: max_mmi
USGS lists the event as reviewed.
usgs_review_statusexposure contextvalid from 17 Jun 2026, 10:10Property
Market relevance: Confirmed magnitude and depth support underwriting use as a stable signature event.
status: reviewed” — USGS Significant Earthquakes · 16 Jun 2026, 03:27 · official advisory
Authoritative facts: review_status
Event lifecycle is active following authoritative fast-track evidence.
lifecycle_activeexposure contextvalid from 18 Jun 2026, 13:13Property
Market relevance: Active lifecycle keeps the event on monitoring boards for follow-up reporting.
evidence_trigger: authoritative_fast_track” — Source · 18 Jun 2026, 13:19

Uncertain7 lines

No damage or casualty reports in this advisory
structured lineuncertain
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
No MMI/shake map intensity data provided
structured lineuncertain
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
No loss estimates available
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Palu region experienced a devastating M7.5 earthquake and tsunami in 2018, but current event details are limited
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
The Palu region experienced a devastating M7.5 earthquake and tsunami in 2018; this historical event is context only and is not a loss indicator for the current M6.7 event.
palu_2018_historical_contextexposure contextProperty
Market relevance: Context for regional seismicity and underwriting awareness; no direct read-across to current loss.
Palu region experienced a devastating M7.5 earthquake and tsunami in 2018, but current event details are limited” — USGS Significant Earthquakes · 16 Jun 2026, 03:27 · official advisory
No damage or casualty reports are available in the current USGS advisory.
no_damage_reportsinformation gapProperty
Market relevance: Limits ability to scope insured loss; this is a monitoring gap rather than a confirmed zero.
loss estimates and damage assessments are not yet available in this USGS advisory” — USGS Significant Earthquakes · 16 Jun 2026, 03:27 · official advisory
No insured or economic loss estimate is available.
no_loss_estimatesinformation gapProperty
Market relevance: Prevents quantification of market impact; flagged for follow-up.
loss estimates and damage assessments are not yet available in this USGS advisory” — USGS Significant Earthquakes · 16 Jun 2026, 03:27 · official advisory

Geographic Zone Matches

2 active matches

  • Pacific Ring of Fire
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • High Piracy Risk - Strait of Malacca
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%

Geographic zone matches are RiskEvents spatial/analytical indicators, not coverage determinations or Lloyd's official classifications.

Affected countries

🇮🇩 Indonesia

Latest developments

  • The earthquake occurred on 16 June 2026 at 03:27 UTC. USGS Significant Earthquakes
  • No loss estimates have been published for this event. USGS Significant Earthquakes
  • USGS derived the solution from 120 stations. USGS Significant Earthquakes
  • USGS recorded the event as magnitude 6.7 (Mw). USGS Significant Earthquakes
  • The earthquake occurred at a shallow depth of 10 km. USGS Significant Earthquakes
  • The epicentre was 46 km east-southeast of Palu, Central Sulawesi. USGS Significant Earthquakes
  • USGS set the PAGER alert level to yellow. USGS Significant Earthquakes
  • No damage or casualty reports are available yet. USGS Significant Earthquakes

Timeline

Status Change18 Jun 2026, 19:30

Status changed to monitoring

Auto-transitioned: no updates for 6 hours

active -> monitoring

Intelligence Refresh18 Jun 2026, 13:19
Status Change18 Jun 2026, 13:13

Status changed to active

evidence_trigger: authoritative_fast_track

signal -> active

Initial Detection18 Jun 2026, 13:13

Initial Detection

A M6.7 earthquake struck 46 km ESE of Palu on the island of Sulawesi, Indonesia, at a shallow depth of 10 km, as reported by USGS. No tsunami warning was issued. The event occurred in a seismically active region of Indonesia; loss estimates and damage assessments are not yet available in this USGS advisory.

"mag":6.7,"place":"46 km ESE of Palu, Indonesia","depth":"10","type":"earthquake","title":"M 6.7 - 46 km ESE of Palu, Indonesia"

Source: USGS Significant Earthquakes (Official Advisory) · View source

Lloyd's classifications

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