RiskEvents
ClosedLow impactAI Generated

Orange-Alert Drought (104,014 km²) – Argentina & Uruguay – Nov 2025–Apr 2026 (GDACS DR 1018327)

Occurred 30 Nov 2025·Detected 11 May 2026·
🇦🇷 Argentina and Uruguay – approximate geographic centre of the affected bounding box (-67 to -56.754 longitude, -38.358 to -32 latitude)1 reportEnded 25 May 2026
Natural CatastrophePropertyMarine CargoEnergyCasualty & LiabilityReinsurance

GDACS issued an orange (medium agricultural impact) alert for an ongoing drought across Argentina and Uruguay, designated 'Argentina-Uruguay-2025', first detected at the end of November 2025. As of 10 April 2026, the drought had lasted approximately 131 days, affecting 104,014 km² with drought indicators suggesting anomalies typical of severe to extreme events. The event carries a GDACS score of around 1.2, consistent with medium impact for agricultural drought. Data is sourced from the Global Drought Observatory operated by EC-JRC.

AI-generated from linked source reports. See our correction policy.

Impact verdict

Low impact. LOW: Historical recalibration. The event may be locally severe or geopolitically notable, but the available reporting does not evidence a concrete London Market loss pathway such as named insured asset damage, vessel/cargo loss, port/airspace/waterway closure, energy/facility outage, claims/loss estimate, reinsurance impact, sanctions asset action, or pricing/capacity response.

View assessment methodology

How we grade what we know -- Known · Reported · Uncertain. Methodology →

Intelligence ledger

Each line expands in place to its underlying sourced claim.

Known8 lines

GDACS ID: DR 1018327, named Argentina-Uruguay-2025▾
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Countries affected: Argentina and Uruguay▾
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Start date: end of November 2025▾
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Duration: 131 days as of 10 April 2026▾
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Affected area: 104,014 km²▾
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GDACS alert level: Orange (medium impact for agricultural drought)▾
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Glide number: DR-2025-000236-ARG▾
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Data sources include EC-JRC (36 links), DesInventar, WMO, and INFORM▾
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Reported3 lines

Drought indicators suggest anomalies typical of severe to extreme events▾
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Associated media coverage links hantavirus outbreak in Argentina to climate change and environmental stress context▾
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GDACS score approximately 1.2▾
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Uncertain3 lines

Precise sub-national regions most severely affected within Argentina and Uruguay not specified in the GDACS alert▾
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Whether the drought has ended or is ongoing beyond 10 April 2026▾
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Direct linkage between the drought and the hantavirus outbreak mentioned in media headlines is not confirmed▾
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Affected countries

🇦🇷 Argentina🇺🇾 Uruguay

Timeline

Status Change28 May 2026, 21:22

Lifecycle changed

monitoring → closed

Closure28 May 2026, 21:22

Event Closed

auto_closed_monitoring_timeout

De-escalation25 May 2026, 16:52

Impact changed

medium → low

Status Change11 May 2026, 06:30

Status changed to monitoring

Auto-transitioned: no updates for 6 hours

Status Change11 May 2026, 00:25

Status changed to active

Auto-promoted: authoritative source detected

Initial Detection11 May 2026, 00:25

Initial Detection

GDACS issued an orange (medium agricultural impact) alert for an ongoing drought across Argentina and Uruguay, designated 'Argentina-Uruguay-2025', first detected at the end of November 2025. As of 10 April 2026, the drought had lasted approximately 131 days, affecting 104,014 km² with drought indicators suggesting anomalies typical of severe to extreme events. The event carries a GDACS score of around 1.2, consistent with medium impact for agricultural drought. Data is sourced from the Global Drought Observatory operated by EC-JRC.

Overall Orange Drought for Argentina-Uruguay-2025 in Argentina, Uruguay. The drought has lasted for 5 months. Drought indicators suggest anomalies typical of severe to extreme events. Duration: 131 days (at 10 Apr 2026). Impact: Medium impact for agricultural drought in 104014 km2.

Source: GDACS Alerts (Official Advisory) · View source

Lloyd's classifications

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