RiskEvents
ClosedLow impactAI Generated

Turkey: AFAD Takes Precautions Against Rising Water Levels at Almus Dam

Occurred 20 May 2026·Detected 20 May 2026·
🇹🇷 Almus Dam (Almus Barajı), Tokat Province, northern Turkey4 reportsEnded 25 May 2026
Natural CatastropheEnvironmental & IndustrialPropertyMarine CargoEnergyCasualty & LiabilityReinsurance

AFAD (Disaster and Emergency Management Authority) President Ali Hamza Pehlivan has announced that all precautions have been taken against the risk of water levels rising beyond expected levels at Almus Dam, with water flowing through the spillway. The situation represents a heightened flood risk in the area around the dam. Authorities are on alert for potential water level increases exceeding forecasts.

AI-generated from linked source reports. See our correction policy.

Impact verdict

Low impact. LOW: Historical recalibration. The event may be locally severe or geopolitically notable, but the available reporting does not evidence a concrete London Market loss pathway such as named insured asset damage, vessel/cargo loss, port/airspace/waterway closure, energy/facility outage, claims/loss estimate, reinsurance impact, sanctions asset action, or pricing/capacity response.

View assessment methodology

How we grade what we know -- Known · Reported · Uncertain. Methodology →

Intelligence ledger

Each line expands in place to its underlying sourced claim.

Known3 lines

AFAD President Ali Hamza Pehlivan made a public statement about the situation▾
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Almus Dam is experiencing elevated water flow through its spillway (dolusavak)▾
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
All precautionary measures have been taken according to AFAD▾
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.

Reported2 lines

Water levels are at risk of rising beyond expected levels▾
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
The situation is being actively managed by Turkish emergency authorities▾
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.

Uncertain3 lines

Extent of any current flooding or downstream impact▾
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Whether evacuations have been ordered or are imminent▾
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
The scale of potential damage or affected population▾
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.

Affected countries

🇹🇷 Turkey

Timeline

Status Change28 May 2026, 21:22

Lifecycle changed

monitoring → closed

Closure28 May 2026, 21:22

Event Closed

auto_closed_monitoring_timeout

De-escalation25 May 2026, 16:52

Impact changed

medium → low

Status Change21 May 2026, 17:30

Status changed to monitoring

Auto-transitioned: no updates for 6 hours

Corroboration21 May 2026, 10:58

Turkey's Disaster and Emergency Management Authority (AFAD) has evacuated more than 4,000 households in Tokat province due to flood risk. Approximately 15,000 residents have been moved to safe areas. The evacuation was announced by AFAD President Ali Hamza Pehlivan.

Source: Anadolu Agency (Turkish) (Wire Service) · View source

Corroboration21 May 2026, 05:38

Turkey's Disaster and Emergency Management Authority (AFAD) President Ali Hamza Pehlivan announced that all necessary precautions have been taken against the risk of water levels rising higher than expected at Almus Dam due to spillway discharge. The statement indicates an elevated flood risk situation at the dam, with authorities on alert for potential overflow or downstream flooding. No breach or failure has been reported at this stage.

Source: Anadolu Agency (Turkish) (Wire Service) · View source

Status Change20 May 2026, 23:44

Status changed to active

Auto-promoted: authoritative source

Corroboration20 May 2026, 23:44

Turkey's Disaster and Emergency Management Authority (AFAD) President Ali Hamza Pehlivan announced that all precautions have been taken against the risk of water levels at Almus Dam's spillway rising higher than expected. The warning relates to potential flooding downstream of the dam in the Tokat province. AFAD has indicated the situation is being actively monitored and managed.

Source: Hurriyet Daily News (Turkish) (Mainstream Media) · View source

Initial Detection20 May 2026, 23:38

Initial Detection

AFAD (Disaster and Emergency Management Authority) President Ali Hamza Pehlivan has announced that all precautions have been taken against the risk of water levels rising beyond expected levels at Almus Dam, with water flowing through the spillway. The situation represents a heightened flood risk in the area around the dam. Authorities are on alert for potential water level increases exceeding forecasts.

Afet ve Acil Durum Yönetimi (AFAD) Başkanı Ali Hamza Pehlivan, Almus Barajı'nda dolusavaktan gelen suyun seviyesinin beklenenden fazla artması riskine karşı her türlü önlemin alındığını bildirdi.

Source: Anadolu Agency (Turkish) (Wire Service) · View source

Lloyd's classifications

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